I totally agree with
almost everything you said here.
Back in late July, early August of 2016, I came to the conclusion that Donald Trump was going to be President. I even wrote it down somewhere. Maybe even posted it on these forums at the time.
The reason I came to that conclusion was largely based on the size of the Trump rallies during the campaign.
Trump was on “Fox and Friends” every Tuesday, I think, a year or so before the Presidential campaigns began. Rumors going around that he might run.
I told the wife then that if he decides to run he is going to disrupt the Political world!
1) He’s got all the money in the world, so he can’t be bought by special interest groups that expect him to do their bidding once elected
2) He’s a businessman who knows how to run a business and well experienced along those lines.
Turns out I was right!
If you were to look at the polling data at the time, Clinton always seemed to be considerably ahead in the race. Yet it seemed Trump could fill a 30k arena at will and Clinton would struggle to fill any venue unless she brought along Hollywood stars and pop icons.
I’ve heard this too that the only way Clinton had the crowds she did was due to the celebrities that performed.
Makes sense because otherwise you’d have to sit there and listen to the
SOS speech from a
lying career politician.
One of the points here is that this was not some anomaly. This was the common state of affairs at the time and the polls did not reflect that.
I would surmise that if Jeb Bush, Rubio or Cruz were the leading candidates in the Republican primary, they would have had the same level of support that Clinton had. Which is what the polling was showing.
The polling models being used were based on typical Republican/Democrat models. A 2 party system polling model.
But Trump, although running on the Republican ticket isn’t really a Republican in the establishment sense. Hell, the Republican establishment wants him out maybe even more than the Democrat establishment does. Trump is simply a pragmatist.
Probably learned the lesson from the Ross Perot run, never had a chance of winning but took enough votes away from one candidate to allow the other to win.
Knowing “Independent candidates” have a snowballs chance in he11 to win, he was smart enough to run as one of the two
major parties, and chose the republicans.
What the polling model didn’t and couldn’t consider was that there exists an entire political party, larger than either the Republican or Democrat parties. Ironically, Hillary named them. “The Deplorables”
Maybe this should be the name of a new party, like the “TEA” party!!
These are a vast contingent of people who typically lean conservative and have become disillusioned about politics in this country. They have been waiting for a leader that was willing to stand up to the establishment and take them down. To fix the things that have been abused and broken. And Trump steps up.
His rallies continue. Trump generally fills most venues, generally large ones, with many more people looking to get in and usually does it with out a bunch of Hollywood or pop icon types. The people come to see and support Trump.
This leads me to think that there is likely to be a large red political wave for the midterms. And like the general election in 16, you are not going to see it in the polls but in the actual election. The polling models just can’t account for it. They don't know how.
I hope it will be a large red wave and people don’t sit on the butts thinking “we got this in the bag, there can’t be that many stupid people that vote blue. I don’t need to go vote”.
On a related note, that Hillary lost because she was a "bad Candidate".
WAIT!!! Have you not been paying attention?
Remember, it was:
Comey
Or low information voters
Or husbands told wife’s who to vote for
Or Russia
Or the Electoral college
Or Sanders voters
Or various other reasons too many to list here, according to her!
So pay attention Moon (of course we all know why she lost, she
was a “
bad candidate”).
This is undeniably true. But on the morning of Nov. 8, 2016 every democrat in the country knew that Hillary was going to win, win in a landslide, because she was an awesomely great candidate. In the early evening, Hillary was going to win because she was a great candidate. Again, this was nearly universally true among the Democrats. By 11 o'clock she was one of the lousiest candidates we the Democrats ever had. "What were we thinking??"
Ahhh…
Good memories…
I clearly remember the feeling I had when I turned on the TV that morning,
dreading to hear “President Clinton”.
But instead seeing pictures of Clinton supporters
wailing in disbelief!!
And then the joy and relief I had hearing
Donald J Trump was our
President!!!
Good times…
