Kavanaugh hearing

[Robert]

We have enough controversy to spread around as these 2 articles will attest to.



In His First Day On The Job, Kavanaugh Hired As Many Black Law Clerks As RBG Has In Her Entire Tenure

https://dailycaller.com/2018/10/08/brett-kavanaugh-black-women-law-clerks-ginsburg/

Rantz: Seattle bar tried to deny service to Republicans celebrating Kavanaugh

http://mynorthwest.com/1139400/seattle-bar-deny-college-republicans/

[..]

Rantz: Seattle bar tried to deny service to Republicans celebrating Kavanaugh

http://mynorthwest.com/1139400/seattle-bar-deny-college-republicans/

I would have gone elsewhere and then posted the total tab on their FB page along with the tip amount. Plus of course NEVER going to Shitzlys again.

[F6Dave]

Since Bret Kavanaugh apparently likes a beer now and then, Rush Limbaugh said we should all toast him with a cold one today.  I'd agree with Chris that Sam Adams should be high on the list.  A company that angers the left like they do earns my business!

On the other hand, I won't be drinking any Fat Tire.  New Belgium Brewing is very active politically, supporting leftist causes.  Three years ago liquor stores in NW Colorado removed their beer from the shelves after the brewery supported a radical environmental group trying to close a mine in the area.

[Alpha Dog]

Since Bret Kavanaugh apparently likes a beer now and then, Rush Limbaugh said we should all toast him with a cold one today.  I'd agree with Chris that Sam Adams should be high on the list.  A company that angers the left like they do earns my business!

On the other hand, I won't be drinking any Fat Tire.  New Belgium Brewing is very active politically, supporting leftist causes.  Three years ago liquor stores in NW Colorado removed their beer from the shelves after the brewery supported a radical environmental group trying to close a mine in the area.

I can go along with this.  My favorite watering hole carries it, almost but not quite, exclusively for me.  I do enjoy there seasonal craft beers also on draught also and October fest is a good one.  Also summer of 17 during our family get together my sister bought some Sam Adams cherry wheat which I thoroughly enjoyed.  I do enjoy craft beers with a hint of fruit, blueberry being my favorite.

[¿spoom]

Thanks to the bullying of the EU, I don't need a Belgian Style anything. I'm sure a single bottle of Fat Tire in my fridge would expect all the other beverages to do everything IT'S way. 

[Oss]

Bummer on the Fat Tire  didnt know about that  Shame to penalize the american workers who brew it here in this country for the sin of the owner.

Guess I will be trying one of the many new local beers, not much into the IPA's and that is mostly what is out now

When I was out west  a few months ago I bought 6pack of a beer from Prescott Brewing Co which was a chocolate porter  My goodness that was an awesome brew with a good kick

Like a dark amber, or porter or red beer myself when I am not drinking scotch

Oss

Ok sometimes WITH scotch

[3fan4life]

Bummer on the Fat Tire  didnt know about that  Shame to penalize the american workers who brew it here in this country for the sin of the owner.

Guess I will be trying one of the many new local beers, not much into the IPA's and that is mostly what is out now

When I was out west  a few months ago I bought 6pack of a beer from Prescott Brewing Co which was a chocolate porter  My goodness that was an awesome brew with a good kick

Like a dark amber, or porter or red beer myself when I am not drinking scotch

Oss

Ok sometimes WITH scotch

Oss, try a beer that has been aged in a used bourbon barrel.

That is some really good beer.

https://www.kentuckyale.com/products/lexington-brewing-company/kentucky-bourbon-barrel-ale

[scooperhsd]

I like a good porter or Sam Adams once in a while, not too much into overindulging anymore.

[Moonshot_1]

Bummer on the Fat Tire  didnt know about that  Shame to penalize the american workers who brew it here in this country for the sin of the owner.

Guess I will be trying one of the many new local beers, not much into the IPA's and that is mostly what is out now

When I was out west  a few months ago I bought 6pack of a beer from Prescott Brewing Co which was a chocolate porter  My goodness that was an awesome brew with a good kick

Like a dark amber, or porter or red beer myself when I am not drinking scotch

Oss

Ok sometimes WITH scotch

Oss, try a beer that has been aged in a used bourbon barrel.

That is some really good beer.

https://www.kentuckyale.com/products/lexington-brewing-company/kentucky-bourbon-barrel-ale

WAIT WAIT WAIT!!!! Make sure you know what they used the used bourbon barrel for first. If they were using it to make sauerkraut or kim chee it might not be as good as you think.

[Jess from VA]

Very nice and polite swearing in at the White House.

Trump apologized to the good judge for his confirmation battle.  Then stood close behind his family while the judge spoke.

I was as impressed with Kavanaugh's simple thank you speech as I was with his opening statement in his hearing.

One was fiery, the other was humble and heartfelt (and designed to calm the waters for everyone).  Both were exactly right.

He sits on two hearings tomorrow, and his daughters got the day off from school to attend. 

Isn't it nice to see some polite civility and professional conduct in our Capitol?  (even briefly)



(Back on CNN...... it was nothing but a victory lap.) 

[carolinarider09]

I found the presentation and words spoken to be well done by all.   I also liked the way the President spoke to his family. 

Good work.

[Pete]

Seems the Dems do not think this is over.

They must really have tender a$$es, I have never seen so much butt hurt since 2016.

I sure hope November kicks them in the a$$, although I hate to have to hear about it, over and over and over...............

[Serk]

...I haven't seen the Democrats this upset since the Republicans freed their slaves.

[F6Dave]

Bummer on the Fat Tire  didnt know about that  Shame to penalize the american workers who brew it here in this country for the sin of the owner.

Guess I will be trying one of the many new local beers, not much into the IPA's and that is mostly what is out now

When I was out west  a few months ago I bought 6pack of a beer from Prescott Brewing Co which was a chocolate porter  My goodness that was an awesome brew with a good kick

Like a dark amber, or porter or red beer myself when I am not drinking scotch

Oss

Ok sometimes WITH scotch

I agree it's too bad, because Fat Tire is actually a very good beer.  But the company isn't.  I heard a story a few years ago that they asked subtle questions during job interviews intended to screen out Republicans/conservatives.

Thankfully there's an awesome selection of great beer available these days.  How things have changed.  I attended the first Great American Beer Festival back in 1982.  Today it's an enormous event, with over 2,000 breweries and 60,000+ attendees.  Back then it was held in a hotel meeting room, and only 22 breweries participated!

[G-Man]

......... I have never seen so much butt hurt since 2016.

It's all the same butt hurt.   

[Willow]

...I haven't seen the Democrats this upset since the Republicans freed their slaves. 

You were there for that event?  You and I need to sit down and talk.  I have a lot of interest in and questions regarding that time.    

[Gryphon]

Oss, try a beer that has been aged in a used bourbon barrel.

That is some really good beer.

https://www.kentuckyale.com/products/lexington-brewing-company/kentucky-bourbon-barrel-ale

Or if you like a stout that has been aged in a bourbon barrel, there is Dragon's Milk:
https://dragonsmilk.com/about-dragons-milk

[Serk]

...I haven't seen the Democrats this upset since the Republicans freed their slaves. 

You were there for that event?  You and I need to sit down and talk.  I have a lot of interest in and questions regarding that time.    

Yup... I can also tell you all about when Lincoln nominated Ruth Bader Ginsburg to the SCOTUS...

[Jess from VA]

...I haven't seen the Democrats this upset since the Republicans freed their slaves.

[Moonshot_1]

I believe and predict the Democrats will suffer an epic and historical defeat in the mid-terms next month.

They've clearly showed their hand the last couple of years and doubled down the last couple months.
They commit these diabolical stunts in the open now.

They really pissed off the wrong bunch of people and they don't know it yet. They will come November.

[..]

I believe and predict the Democrats will suffer an epic and historical defeat in the mid-terms next month.

They've clearly showed their hand the last couple of years and doubled down the last couple months.
They commit these diabolical stunts in the open now.

They really pissed off the wrong bunch of people and they don't know it yet. They will come November.

Have you read how many Swifites have registered to vote since she tweeted?

I hope you are right in your assumption.

[f6john]

I had seen a clip on the news of Melania in Egypt and I thought she looked very classy in that outfit. Truth is she looks pretty good in most anything. Haters are going to hate.

[3fan4life]

Bummer on the Fat Tire  didnt know about that  Shame to penalize the american workers who brew it here in this country for the sin of the owner.

Guess I will be trying one of the many new local beers, not much into the IPA's and that is mostly what is out now

When I was out west  a few months ago I bought 6pack of a beer from Prescott Brewing Co which was a chocolate porter  My goodness that was an awesome brew with a good kick

Like a dark amber, or porter or red beer myself when I am not drinking scotch

Oss

Ok sometimes WITH scotch

Oss, try a beer that has been aged in a used bourbon barrel.

That is some really good beer.

https://www.kentuckyale.com/products/lexington-brewing-company/kentucky-bourbon-barrel-ale

WAIT WAIT WAIT!!!! Make sure you know what they used the used bourbon barrel for first. If they were using it to make sauerkraut or kim chee it might not be as good as you think.

It was used to age bourbon.

These really are good beers.

[..]

Madness and convinced that she spoke the truth about Kavanaugh.

TDS

https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/410564-christine-blasey-ford-nominated-for-distinguished-alumna-award

[Moonshot_1]

Madness and convinced that she spoke the truth about Kavanaugh.

TDS

https://thehill.com/blogs/blog-briefing-room/news/410564-christine-blasey-ford-nominated-Tfor-distinguished-alumna-award

This isn't madness. This is the continuation of a political hit job against Kavanaugh to undermine Trump.

That latest hit job was done poorly. They realize that it lacked details and corroboration (obviously because there are none) so they need to come up with ways to validate it. This is one.  There will be more.

[Jess from VA]

Jennifer Ho, a professor in the university's Department of English and Comparative Literature, said Ford did "something that was extraordinary" earlier this year when "she told the truth about a sexual assault she experienced when she was fifteen years old at the hands of Judge Brett Kavanaugh."

The Ho says it was extraordinary.   It was extra something all right.

Wait for the Nobel PEACE prize.

Then the Order of Lenin.   

[Moonshot_1]

Jennifer Ho, a professor in the university's Department of English and Comparative Literature, said Ford did "something that was extraordinary" earlier this year when "she told the truth about a sexual assault she experienced when she was fifteen years old at the hands of Judge Brett Kavanaugh."

The Ho says it was extraordinary.   It was extra something all right.

Wait for the Nobel PEACE prize.

Then the Order of Lenin.   

I saw that quote and had to laugh. They are creating lies within the lies. Did Judge Kavanaugh hop in a Delorian and travel back in time to "assault" Ford? I don't believe Kavanaugh was a Judge in High School. But that is the optic they are trying to create.

They will petition the Vatican next to have the Pope grant her Sainthood soon as well.

[Rams]

Expect more as the mid-term elections draw nearer. 

It is all designed to enflame and incite progressives and liberals to go to the polls. 

Conservatives that don't stand their ground and vote are simply giving up on their beliefs.  If you give a damn about the Constitution, those that gave all to protect our freedoms and our God given rights, stand up and be counted.

Rams

[Moonshot_1]

I believe and predict the Democrats will suffer an epic and historical defeat in the mid-terms next month.

They've clearly showed their hand the last couple of years and doubled down the last couple months.
They commit these diabolical stunts in the open now.

They really pissed off the wrong bunch of people and they don't know it yet. They will come November.

Have you read how many Swifites have registered to vote since she tweeted?

I hope you are right in your assumption.

Prediction of the 2018 mid terms

I believe the Democrats will suffer a spectacular defeat in the midterms this year.

The reason is the same one that saw Trump win the Presidency against all the polling data out there at the time.

Most people have yet to understand the dynamics of this as they have dramatically changed in the last 2 years because of President Trump.

Imagine a sheet of paper. Draw a small circle in the middle. Draw two larger ones on either side of the small one. In the large circles write the number 45 in the smaller write 10.
This is the basic political model that has been used for decades. A model with about 45% of the model being Democrat, 45% Republican and 10% being independent.

The percentages change slightly with each election. The 2 points that matter are which side can get out their base and how many independents they can sway to their side.

For decades, the polling using this basic model has been extremely accurate. Until lately. Precisely when Trump announced his candidacy.
Trump came on and ran on the Republican ticket. But the reality is that he is not an "establishment" Republican. He is and should be viewed as a 3rd party candidate. This is why the model has changed.
The people who have given up on the establishment politics and politicians are now back in play.

Instead of the Democrat circle, Republican circle and independent circle in the model, a new circle has appeared. Call it the Deplorable Party, the MAGA party, or whatever you want. This group of people have been off the radar for decades. Some popped up for Ross Perot, but generally these folks have never been politically engaged. Never saw any cause to be.
Now, with Trump, there is.

My take on this is the model has gone from 45%, 45%, 10% to a model of 35% Rep, 35% Dem, 20% Let's call it MAGA and 10% independent.

The current polling is still using the old model. They are not accounting for the new 20%.
When you use the new model, the 2016 election makes sense. It accounts for the failings in the polls.

The 20% MAGA votes, combined with the 35% of the Republican votes, and let's split the indies at 5% gives Trump 60% of the electorate. Take out the anomalies of California and New York and you get a pretty accurate number as it relates to the election. Look at the counties won and it reflects the numbers even better.

I believe the same dynamic will be in play this November in the midterms. Possibly to an even greater extent as I believe the Democrat party has lost much of its moderate base with the trend to violence and other un-American conduct in the past 2 years and their diabolical conduct in the last few months.

When you watch a Trump rally and see the 10's of thousands in the crowd, you have to realize that this is not a crowd of Republicans. It is the MAGA crowd. The Republicans could never get a crowd like this for an establishment candidate or politician.

I believe Trump and his staff understand the new dynamic. I do not believe the Democrats or Republicans have truly grasped it yet.

At the latest rallies Trump has had he asks the crowd to vote Republican. If this was a Republican crowd, he'd just ask them to vote. So he knows the crowd isn't Republican or Democrat and they have options and he knows the crowd is there to see and support him. He gets it.

But there is darkness on the horizon as well. I fear that this midterm will be marred by extreme violence and mayhem egged on by the Democrat leadership. Apparently they no longer are going to be civil. I'm not sure how they define civility but I know they have been wrong about its definition for decades.

They will deploy their minions to upend the elections. Particularly key races. We will see the likes of Antifa and black lives matter get out and block people from voting. Mass protest at voting places. They will go apoplectic. 

Democrat success in the midterms will simply validate their actions and they will increase their efforts because, to them, it works.

Vote for the good guys in November.

[Willow]

...
Imagine a sheet of paper. Draw a small circle in the middle. Draw two larger ones on either side of the small one. In the large circles write the number 45 in the smaller write 10.
This is the basic political model that has been used for decades. A model with about 45% of the model being Democrat, 45% Republican and 10% being independent.
...

I largely agree with your assessment with a few adjustments.  The two large circles I would call committed Democrats and committed Republicans.  I would draw the Democrat circle ever so slightly larger than the Republican circle.  Those in the middle I would not call strictly independents, but simply generally uncommitted voters.  Some are Democrats; some are Republicans; some are indeed independents.

We must not forget that the Democrats carried a majority of the popular vote in 2016.  The Republicans have an uphill struggle against the strategy of the left with the allegiance of a large portion of the main stream media.

I do believe the only way the right can succeed in November is to get all their committed voters out and pull a good chunk from the middle.

[Moonshot_1]

"We must not forget that the Democrats carried a majority of the popular vote in 2016.  The Republicans have an uphill struggle against the strategy of the left with the allegiance of a large portion of the main stream media."

On this point I tend not to agree. There is no popular vote for the Presidency. The analogy I like to use is the World Series. If the Yankees and Cubs are playing and the Yankees win game 1 by a score of 15 to 1 and the Cubs win the next 4 games 1-0 the Yankees don't win because they scored more runs in the Series. And since the midterms are not a national election like a presidential one the popular vote case has even less than no value.

However, if you look at the map of counties won, and this is a more accurate accounting as it relates to the midterms, Trump won an overwhelming majority of them. I believe this trend will continue and be even greater in the midterms. Unless something dramatic happens to undo it and right now the Democrats are on the defensive and on the run. They are, in fact, defeating themselves with their blatant hypocrisy and calls to violence.

There will be some democrat bastions that will always go democrat. But I believe that the bulk of the legislative races will go GOP this midterm.

Anyway, that's the view from the cheap seats.

[Rams]

"We must not forget that the Democrats carried a majority of the popular vote in 2016.  The Republicans have an uphill struggle against the strategy of the left with the allegiance of a large portion of the main stream media."

On this point I tend not to agree. There is no popular vote for the Presidency. The analogy I like to use is the World Series. If the Yankees and Cubs are playing and the Yankees win game 1 by a score of 15 to 1 and the Cubs win the next 4 games 1-0 the Yankees don't win because they scored more runs in the Series. And since the midterms are not a national election like a presidential one the popular vote case has even less than no value.

However, if you look at the map of counties won, and this is a more accurate accounting as it relates to the midterms, Trump won an overwhelming majority of them. I believe this trend will continue and be even greater in the midterms. Unless something dramatic happens to undo it and right now the Democrats are on the defensive and on the run. They are, in fact, defeating themselves with their blatant hypocrisy and calls to violence.

There will be some democrat bastions that will always go democrat. But I believe that the bulk of the legislative races will go GOP this midterm.

Anyway, that's the view from the cheap seats.

I can not agree with two things in the quoted post.  Willow has the situation pegged IMHO.   First, if the reported number of votes in 2016 is correct, HRC did win the popular vote.   Secondly, the Dems are definitely on an offensive to incite, anger and drive their side and any independents they can to the polls.   

I can only hope Conservatives feel the same anger I feel about how the Dem leadership has conducted themselves.   

Rams

[Moonshot_1]

"We must not forget that the Democrats carried a majority of the popular vote in 2016.  The Republicans have an uphill struggle against the strategy of the left with the allegiance of a large portion of the main stream media."

On this point I tend not to agree. There is no popular vote for the Presidency. The analogy I like to use is the World Series. If the Yankees and Cubs are playing and the Yankees win game 1 by a score of 15 to 1 and the Cubs win the next 4 games 1-0 the Yankees don't win because they scored more runs in the Series. And since the midterms are not a national election like a presidential one the popular vote case has even less than no value.

However, if you look at the map of counties won, and this is a more accurate accounting as it relates to the midterms, Trump won an overwhelming majority of them. I believe this trend will continue and be even greater in the midterms. Unless something dramatic happens to undo it and right now the Democrats are on the defensive and on the run. They are, in fact, defeating themselves with their blatant hypocrisy and calls to violence.

There will be some democrat bastions that will always go democrat. But I believe that the bulk of the legislative races will go GOP this midterm.

Anyway, that's the view from the cheap seats.

I can not agree with two things in the quoted post.  Willow has the situation pegged IMHO.   First, if the reported number of votes in 2016 is correct, HRC did win the popular vote.   Secondly, the Dems are definitely on an offensive to incite, anger and drive their side and any independents they can to the polls.   

I can only hope Conservatives feel the same anger I feel about how the Dem leadership has conducted themselves.   

Rams

Show me the provision in the Constitution for the popular vote and I will concede Hillary won it. But there is no provision for the popular vote in the Constitution so Hillary could not possibly win it because it doesn't exist. It has the same value as the runs scored in the entire World series. They don't matter. It is the games and the States where the scores/votes matter. To consider the "popular vote" in any way in a US Presidential election is giving it value that is just doesn't have.

I can't see the Democrats having a strategy to drive Independents to the polls. I see them implementing a strategy to drive them and conservatives away from the polls with hate, violence and anger.

[Rams]

 I don't believe Willow, myself or, anyone else  has suggested that the popular vote determines who is elected. I believe the point is that popular vote changes can result electoral vote changes.

In reference to offensive or defensive  strategies the Democratic leadership may have, call it whatever you like but the last six months or so has been all about the mid term elections and getting voter turn out, their base and any independent votes they can swing.

Rams

[Willow]

...
On this point I tend not to agree. There is no popular vote for the Presidency. ... And since the midterms are not a national election like a presidential one the popular vote case has even less than no value.
...
Anyway, that's the view from the cheap seats.

There's no electoral college for Senators and Representatives.  The popular vote, then holds an even higher import during the midterms.

BTW "won" was your word.  "Carried" was mine.  Those who will not read the signs often end up poorly.  It's easy to see how conservatives are disgusted, revolted, by a lot of liberal behavior.  Unfortunately there is a large portion of the population, the voting population, that simply refuses to see it.

[Moonshot_1]

...
On this point I tend not to agree. There is no popular vote for the Presidency. ... And since the midterms are not a national election like a presidential one the popular vote case has even less than no value.
...
Anyway, that's the view from the cheap seats.

There's no electoral college for Senators and Representatives.  The popular vote, then holds an even higher import during the midterms.

BTW "won" was your word.  "Carried" was mine.  Those who will not read the signs often end up poorly.  It's easy to see how conservatives are disgusted, revolted, by a lot of liberal behavior.  Unfortunately there is a large portion of the population, the voting population, that simply refuses to see it.

I agree the "popular vote" has a higher import for the midterms. But these are not national races. They are State and local races. This is the game where the runs count.

[Willow]

These may be as important as national races.  The President gets a Republican congress and he contiues to make headway.  If the democrats gain control of the legislative branch we go to stalemate.

[f6john]

I think when the pendulum does swing the other way we may see a push to eliminate the electoral college. Ocasio-Cortez has already said its time has past.

[Jess from VA]

Fortunately, amending the constitution is a decidedly uphill enterprise.

The last amendment (27) was proposed in 1789, but not ratified until 1992 (202 years, 7 months, and 10 days).

I did not know this story, but it is an interesting one:  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Twenty-seventh_Amendment_to_the_United_States_Constitution

[scooperhsd]

I think that is is a good thing that the amendment process is so much of an uphill process (to paraphrase Jess).

There are actually 4 ways a proposed amendment can be ratified, but only 1 (maybe 2) have actually been used. Don't ask me to enumerate them I'd have to google it.